Why There Won’t Be a Housing Market Crash Despite Recession Talk

Tammy Jackson
2 min readMar 6, 2024
Why There Won’t Be a Housing Market Crash Despite Recession Talk

The Resilient State of the Economy

Amidst the ongoing discussions about a potential recession, concerns have surfaced regarding a housing market crash. However, recent expert projections and data indicate that these concerns may be unfounded.

Despite the pessimism, the current state of the economy and its underlying fundamentals paint a more optimistic picture.

Economy Shows Signs of Stability

One reason why experts are dismissing the likelihood of a housing market crash is the overall health of the economy. Despite some temporary setbacks, the economy is performing better than many may believe.

According to a survey conducted by the Wall Street Journal, only 39% of economists predict a recession in the coming year, a significant decline from the 61% who made the same prediction just one year ago.

Unemployment Rate Offers Reassurance

Furthermore, the current unemployment rate offers reassurance in terms of avoiding a housing market crash. Historical data reveals that the current rate remains relatively low compared to the unemployment rates observed during previous economic downturns.

If we compare the rate to the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, when the housing market crash occurred, the current unemployment rate is significantly lower.

Projections Indicate Low Risk of Foreclosures

Looking ahead, expert projections for the next three years indicate that the unemployment rate is expected to remain well below the long-term average.

This suggests that the risk of a flood of foreclosures that could severely impact the housing market is minimal.

Mitigating the Impact of Job Losses

It is important to acknowledge the challenges faced by individuals who may lose their jobs, as any job loss is difficult. However, the key question is whether enough people will be affected to cause a market crash.

Fortunately, projections indicate that the number of job losses will likely be insufficient to trigger a significant wave of foreclosures, which could undermine the stability of the housing market.

Conclusion: A Positive Outlook

In conclusion, the prevailing expert opinion suggests that there won’t be a housing market crash in the foreseeable future, despite the looming recession talk.

Projections indicate that the overall strength and resilience of the economy, along with the anticipated stability of the unemployment rate, contribute to this positive outlook.

To gain further insights and expert guidance on navigating the housing market, reach out to the professionals at KM Realty Group LLC in Chicago, IL.

For additional information on this subject, please visit our related blog post: Why There Won’t Be a Housing Market Crash.

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Tammy Jackson

Broker @ KM Realty Group, a professional real estate agency in Chicago IL that specializes in value-added residential sales, purchases & property management.